Staking Plan Simulator
Monte Carlo simulation engine. Test any staking strategy across thousands of simulated betting sequences. See your expected bankroll path, bust probability, maximum drawdown, and optimal stake size.
How Monte Carlo Works
1. Random Walk
Each simulation runs 500 bets. For each bet: win with probability 55% (receiving 1.95× stake) or lose (stake = 0). Stake is recalculated as 2.5% of remaining bankroll each bet.
2. Thousands of Trials
We run 10000 independent trials to build a robust distribution. Each trial is a different sequence of random outcomes — capturing the full range of luck (both good and bad) possible in real betting.
3. Statistical Summary
Median = typical outcome. Bust rate = % of trials where bankroll hit $0. Drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. Compare strategies by their risk/reward profile.
Ready to bet? Try these bookmakers
Use the math first, then compare regulated books in your region. A small odds difference can matter more than a bigger stake.
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